Tudor Predictions 2024 Recap: Our Complete List

Thus far, we at Everest have made six predictions regarding Tudor’s 2024 releases. Today, I’d like to recap these predictions, giving you a brief summary of each one. If you’re interested in any one prediction, the long-form article will be linked in each section.

Tudor Submariner 70th Anniversary Revival

Image Source: analogshift.com

Released in 1954, the long-discontinued Tudor Submariner is celebrating its 70th anniversary this year. Given Tudor’s modern catalog – largely based on two distinct dive watches in the Black Bay and Pelagos – the prospect of a Submariner revival feels a bit far-fetched. After all, the aforementioned modern Tudor divers successfully relinquished Tudor’s reliance on the Submariner pre-21st century. While Tudor could very well skip over this anniversary, they could also celebrate it under the Black Bay umbrella. Tim Mosso of the 1916 Company posits that we might see a limited “Submariner Edition” Black Bay 54: a watch largely based on the first-ever Tudor Submariner ref. 7922. I quite like this prediction, but with every modern Black Bay release, we have to consider the inevitable upgrade to METAS Certification. Frankly, it feels a bit early in the Black Bay 54’s life cycle to implement this type of upgrade, but that wouldn’t eliminate the possibility of an LE. As with every “prediction” on this list, we’ll just have to wait and see what Tudor and Rolex have in store.

Tudor Black Bay 58 Refresh: T-Fit and METAS

Image Source: analogshift.com

Whereas the idea of a Tudor Submariner purely speculative, the Tudor Black Bay 58 has some imminent upgrades that, if they don’t arrive in 2024, will feel overdue. First and foremost, the Black Bay 58 bracelet is still without a microadjustable T-fit clasp. As mentioned in our prediction article, Tudor’s Cole Pennington stated in an interview that, regarding the addition of T-Fit clasp to existing Black Bay models, “we’ll get there”. Even if this isn’t the case for more obscure models like the Black Bay P01, I’m all but certain that the Black Bay 58 will receive this upgrade. 

In the same interview, Cole Pennington stated that, eventually, “we will see the entire [Black Bay] range become METAS-certified”. Last year, we saw the core Black Bay 41mm receive a movement upgrade and case rehaul fit with METAS certification. As one of Tudor’s best-sellers, if not the best seller, the Black Bay 58 should be next in line for the Master Chronometer treatment. I predict that we will see this upgrade coincide with a T-fit clasp.

Blue Tudor Pelagos 39

This one is my personal favorite. Since the release of the Tudor Pelagos 39 – Tudor’s amply-sized “ultimate modern diver” in black – people have talked about a blue version. While I like the idea of a blue Pelagos 39, I would love it under one particular condition. The current Pelagos 39 has a sunray-finished dial and bezel, creating light reflections that, to purists, are antithetical to the hyper-legible nature of a dive watch. While I think this stance is a bit nitpicky, I do agree that a matte blue Pelagos 39 – dial and bezel – would be the best way to go about it. For reference, imagine the finish on the blue version of the core Pelagos model. This watch would surely be a knockout, and I think it’s plausible that we see it at Watches and Wonders 2024. Who knows, a blue Pelagos 39 could even be Tudor’s way of celebrating the Submariner’s anniversary; blue configurations of vintage Tudor Subs have  only been increasing in collectibility.

Tudor In-House Chrono + BB Chrono Refresh

Image Source: Tudor

Tudor first released the Black Bay Chrono in 2017. Four years later, the watch was updated with slimmer dimensions and new dial variations. Mechanically, this watch has stayed the same since its initial launch, and frankly, no one is complaining. The Black Bay Chrono houses an impressive movement based on the Breitling caliber B01. The column wheel movement is the same used in Breitling’s more-expensive Navitimer and Chronomat. However, with Tudor’s push to Kennisi-fy their catalog, an in-house chronograph isn’t a matter of if, but when. Last year, we saw a one-off Kenissi chronograph movement housed in a gold Tudor “Big Block”: the brand’s 2023 OnlyWatch submission. This indicates that Kenissi, Tudor’s in-house movement manufacturer that also serves other brands (e.g. Chanel, Breitling, TAG Heuer, Norquain), has chronograph mechanics on their mind. While we’re still hot on the heels of the in-house Big Block, 2024 could be the year we see a mechanically-refreshed Tudor Black Bay Chrono.

Tudor Goes Green: Black Bay 54 and/or 58

While some may argue that a green Black Bay 54/58 would be “following the crowd” after the overwhelming amount of green sports watches released in recent years (of which the Seamaster 300M is my favorite, for the record), K. Wells argues that it would reflect positively on Tudor, showing that they’re in-tune with the desires of enthusiasts. K. Wells also makes clear the oft-forgotten truth that brands largely don’t care what enthusiasts want: enthusiasts make up a very small percentage of actual buyers. Still, we know that green works with the Black Bay silhouette: just look at the 2016 Harrods Edition Black Bay. Regardless of your feelings about the “green watch trend”, you have to admit that a green Black Bay 58 would break the horological internet for at least a week. Will we see one in 2024? Again, I don’t know with any certainty. And again, this could be Tudor’s way of celebrating the Submariner’s anniversary. After all, green is Rolex’s definitive anniversary color.

Tudor Black Bay GMT and Black Bay Pro Rehaul

Tudor’s dual-timezone watches – the Black Bay GMT and Black Bay Pro – share a movement: the in-house Tudor caliber MT5652. While this is a wonderful movement and I’d recommend either of these watches in a heartbeat, they both share one primary complaint. Both of Tudor’s dual-timezone watches are considerably thick: both a hair under 15mm. This thickness is heightened by either watch’s slab-sided case design, and it’s heightened further by the BB Pro’s 39mm diameter. Much like an updated chronograph movement is inevitable, an updated GMT movement is inevitable; it’s not a matter of if, but when. Whenever this update does occur, I expect the movement to be thinner and both watch’s case heights to be thinner. Beyond movements, I expect the Black Bay GMT to adopt a T-fit clasp, something that the Black Bay Pro already has.

Final Thoughts

There you have it, folks. These are our “predictions”, more accurately our “wishlist”, regarding Tudor’s 2024 releases. This article will be updated with any future predictions we make, but beyond that, stay tuned for our in-person coverage at Watches and Wonders Geneva 2024.